Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047228 0.051372 0.055571 0.060136 0.064954 0.069879 0.075287
2024-10-13 0.041097 0.047247 0.053706 0.060969 0.068881 0.077213 0.086623
2024-10-20 0.035233 0.042691 0.050792 0.060183 0.070704 0.082069 0.095211
2024-10-27 0.031549 0.040093 0.049658 0.061041 0.074103 0.088513 0.105496
2024-11-03 0.027762 0.036979 0.047602 0.060566 0.075775 0.092877 0.113382
2024-11-10 0.025000 0.034788 0.046376 0.060840 0.078141 0.097919 0.121981
2024-11-17 0.022938 0.033242 0.045743 0.061662 0.081034 0.103500 0.131173
2024-11-24 0.022193 0.033248 0.046930 0.064635 0.086471 0.112075 0.143917
2024-12-01 0.019359 0.030333 0.044279 0.062709 0.085834 0.113336 0.147952
2024-12-08 0.017430 0.028456 0.042809 0.062130 0.086742 0.116371 0.154045
2024-12-15 0.015822 0.026886 0.041623 0.061813 0.087896 0.119647 0.160397
2024-12-22 0.015302 0.026794 0.042365 0.063971 0.092165 0.126762 0.171457
2024-12-29 0.014387 0.026101 0.042293 0.065094 0.095194 0.132463 0.180968
2025-01-05 0.013463 0.025328 0.042063 0.065980 0.097912 0.137801 0.190089
2025-01-12 0.012076 0.023749 0.040619 0.065153 0.098348 0.140239 0.195608
2025-01-19 0.011335 0.023112 0.040469 0.066062 0.101050 0.145556 0.204753
2025-01-26 0.010261 0.021855 0.039348 0.065561 0.101834 0.148393 0.210773
2025-02-02 0.009494 0.021036 0.038819 0.065851 0.103649 0.152548 0.218470
2025-02-09 0.008939 0.020528 0.038719 0.066720 0.106232 0.157696 0.227447
2025-02-16 0.008974 0.021038 0.040181 0.069857 0.111951 0.166985 0.241796
2025-02-23 0.007809 0.019333 0.038137 0.067825 0.110489 0.166807 0.243937
2025-03-02 0.007059 0.018308 0.037098 0.067214 0.110957 0.169146 0.249317
2025-03-09 0.006428 0.017447 0.036272 0.066880 0.111782 0.171942 0.255288